Barring miracles, George W can start choosing the wallpaper for a White House makeover, while John Kerry can go back to doing whatever it was he did for a living before he deluded himself that the US is essentially liberal at heart.
It all rests on the state of Ohio apparently. There has been a lot of sneering in the UK media about that country’s complicated college vote electoral system, but it doesn’t seem any worse than ours where it is the number of constituencies you win that gets you into No. 10 and not the popular vote.
So how has George done it? The huge turnout of voters was taken as a sign that Kerry had it in the bag — see the Daily Ablution for example — and the exit polls apparently bore this out. The reality it seems is that the conservative vote had been equally galvanised to stand up and be counted.
No doubt there will be lots of social research to explain this phenomenon, but my personal theory is that Michael Moore is to blame. Fahrenheit 9/11 may have confirmed many people’s existing view of the world, but I suspect that the film and his partisan campaigning also angered many others and motivated them to support Bush.
The Democrats are not liberals, at least not ones that a European would recognise, but even so, Kerry represented a threat to what is an essentially conservative and faith-driven country.
So well done Michael, an own goal of world-shaking proportions. But at least you made Moore Watch happy.